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I discuss how AI will gradually replace jobs over time, starting with entry-level positions. In this video, I use OpenAI's chatbot GPT as an example to demonstrate how AI will replace jobs such as copywriting, programming, and customer service. This especially applies to entry-level jobs.
#chatgpt #openai #ai
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as someone who was enthusiastically learning programming willing to be a fullstack developer I’m kind of… idk, scared maybe ?! because after seeing what codex and AI could do I’m not so sure if it’s actually reasonable to keep on learning atp especially for someone who is just getting started and doesn’t even have a job yet. i think we have entered an era that we can basically just lay back and let the AI do all types of stuff for us, now of course this will have some considerable bad outcomes like we’ve seen in WALL-E movie where human race need machines for their survival. maybe I’m just overthinking stuff or watching too many movies lol, but there’s so many unanswered questions about AI that i think time will reveal but that day may be too late.
@Peter sure, but what about this technology 10 years forward? A decade is not much considering those who haven’t even got into the market yet…
IMO it’s already hard as-is to find a job as a software engineer. This type of career has become hugely popular in the recent years and thanks to the internet basically anyone with a computer can learn it. With this low of a barrier of entry the supply of computer programmers will only increase
Just be open to opportunities. What you are doing in 2023 was always going to be obsolete anyway and just like anyone in your career, you need to be on top of programming and career trends. But then you would have to do that anyway.
I think any particular job is always potentially on the chopping block. For example, the role of “computer operator” is virtually dead. But any good tech who was n that job is probably a system admin, network admin, security admin, or something else tech related.
In fact, if you are very concerned about ChatGPT and similar tech, your first move ought to be about how that can be a tool you use for your current job.
Now you know why people defending coal miners, oil and gas workers, blue collar workers in general have been protesting. There will not be any well paying jobs to replace said workers with the green transition. I’m not happy it’s happening to you, but it’s old news to others, and now maybe you can feel the “deplorables” anxieties
@Lincoln33 Im not sure what lesson you think IT people are supposed to learn from the “Deplorables” you mentioned. The IT industry has experienced lots of layoffs, jobs and tasks are constantly automated. Technology is constantly changing and anyone who doesn’t keep up to date and learn new skills won’t stay employable.
i feel like this will help programmers improve more then replace there job
XDDD
@onee It’s just gonna collection the prompts / questions asked by billions of users and “learn” how to ask questions.
Then it’ll start asking itself questions (which is the basis of creating ideas) and then feed the output back to itself. => This turns into a singularity
THIS. i talk about this very think in my netflix-style doc on my channel. would love to hear what you think!
Same goes with copy writers. May be it can write exact code required to run a trivial program. But when it comes to a whole project, you can’t just type “write xxx code for xxx project” and expect it to do all for you. Same with copy writers, content that targets very specific audience from a very specific niche, is a no no for GPT. It just cannot do it. No matter what, these jobs will always require human input to correct the mistakes, to mold the result to your liking
@AbominableAREX abdominable, you might appreciate my video on my channel about the issues and problems with gpt… your point is on there. I wonder what you think about the other points. Would love to hear your thoughts!
I’ve never had a teacher as good as chat gpt
For physics and math, chatgpt is fully useless. It gives nonsensical answers.
It’s useless now, only the rich people will have access to it by bribing the owners to give them the best version.
@SoCal Justice Warrior I asked about some concepts of physics to ai.. It failed..
And many of the explanation were flawed.. So I discussed it with many people on a telegram group … They did it better…
Hey really it’s so true
I’ve had some lousy teachers for sure…but I’ve had many others that were caring, inspiring, mentors, motivators, thought-provokers etc. A predictive text chatbot could never replace that, and if you think it could…I feel really bad about the amount of meaningful human interaction you’ve had.
I love when people talk about chatGPT and then don’t show chatGPT but a different AI model. The AI model you showed throughout the entire video was text-davinci-003 and not in fact chatGPT… text-davinci-003 is a series of InstructGPT models (including text-davinci-001, text-davinci-002, and text-davinci-003) which is what chatGPT is built off of. Other than that distinction it was a good video.
Using ChatGPT, I was able to create a talking and listening female chatbot whose sole purpose in life is to make me happy. It uses the davinci engine, but it was built by ChatGPT for the most part. Very awesome.
You are correct that the AI model used was text-davinci-003, which is part of the InstructGPT series of models. chatGPT is also based on InstructGPT, but it is a separate model with its own unique capabilities and training. I will be more careful in the future to accurately label the AI models used in my videos to avoid any confusion. Thank you again for pointing this out.
I don’t think it will fully replace any of these jobs, but it will change them. Instead of the junior developer working all day writing 1000 lines of code or however much, they will write 15,000 lines of code with this AI. It will increase their productivity, and then the senior dev will review the code with the junior dev and help them learn where the AI got it wrong or could be better.
Although, at some point AI would get good enough that it could do literally anything better than a human, and at that point things will really start to get weird.
@Really Good Games I guess I can see that. I come from a research background and mostly code for data analysis. A lot of lab hands are there for this sort of low level stuff. If this makes the tedious parts of research faster, less hands will be needed. I might be a bit jaded by academia though, since it feels oversaturated, like a conveyor to post doc hell. Don’t know how private works. My concern is the same amount of work will be demanded, while cost cutting efforts are employed. As 490o brought up, consumption may not increase, so the increased margins may go elsewhere.
@Josh Baker I don’t agree.. AI will be a new market, start ups will be created by those who want to have their own AI products, and this will be the new wave.. the productivity of every coder will increase, – and when this happens, the market expands -, the value of work/hour decreases, and this is what happened when woman started joining the market; the market expanded and the value of work decreased 2x, this is also why 2 persons per family need to work today, in order to be able to pay everything every month.. if the cost to generate products can decrease (because of the automation), products can be cheaper (also because there is concurrence), and prices become cheaper for companies and persons who want to buy the products.. less production costs = cheaper products.. in other words, the market will expand, more start ups/tiny entrepeneurs will arise, the productivity of coders will be greater, less coders will be needed in companies but there will be more companies/a new market as well, because AI is a new product/market and the demand for produts will increase, as the price of the products will be cheaper, because there are less cost to produce the goods.. this is already happening now, when one looks to the automation of the work of accountants.. it can already be 100% automated, but there are still a lot of accountants in the economy, their productivity increased a lot, less accountants are needed in companies, but that market expanded as well, more start ups can provide that service and their services became cheaper.. this happened many times before, and the market will keep expanding.. who explained this phenomenon of market expansion to me, was a doctor in economics, in a master’s degree in Trade Sciences, that I followed in Belgium..
@Ranteray If supply increases, prices decrease and demand rises because of that – assuming the demand curve doesn’t change. If manufacturing efficiency makes cars cheaper, then I might just buy one, in the case that I don’t have one. But I do, so I don’t. The car industry shrank pre-covid, with one of the factors being market saturation. It was one of the leading GDP slowdowns, at 20% in 2018. The demand curve also changed. Supply and demand is covered in first year economics courses, so it’s something I had explained to me as well.
However, I don’t disagree with you. I think start ups will pop up. I wrote few, but an explosion could also happen. In turn, a need for people to check code (expanded QA) will arise. Start ups are risky so people will be very picky with what or who they invest in. With my switch operators and pony express example, they got wiped out but work didn’t. Telecoms and mail still exist, just not in a way suitable for switch operators and horse riders. So they either adapted to that or did something else. In either case, they had to find different work.
I think the programmer is going to be impacted. Fewer will be needed, so fewer may be used. Your value drop example isn’t too different from my poorly paid QA example. Only that the work is changed in mine. The additional thing is that there’s no guarantee that cost savings will go to more programmers. Designers, managers, IT and security are all valid channels.
I do data analysis with Python and R. When I tried it out in ChatGPT, it was quite good. Good enough that I’d just have an intern do it. Interns do most of the data grunt work in labs anyway. Because academia is so saturated, we don’t have enough work going around. We’ll take free interns, but there isn’t enough grant money for paid work. What sucks is you need work to climb the academic ladder. I fully expect not to get a tenure after graduating. More likely than not, I’ll be stuck as an associate instructor, with little job security.
I may be completely wrong. Your accounting example surprised me also. Accounting is another area I’d expect to go down, but it seems not. The thing with an economic discussion is that there are so many variables, it’s hard to predict anything with certainty. Otherwise, I’d be rich off the stock market ;p
The tech industry looks just as saturated as academia to me. CS is one of if not the most popular major at my university (in the US at least). Tech already looks competitive and this is probably going to make it more so. I’m drawing my parallels from here. Hopefully I’m wrong. The grass here is dry and a data engineering job is within comfortable reach right now, though it feels like it’s slipping away.
@490o consumption has gone up, just look at the last 150 years. Why do you think consumption went up? Because we could produce more, more cheaply, so people bought more, and employers could pay more.
The only thing that would stop this trend is if we run out of jobs for people to do, which would require a very high level of AI and robotics – doesn’t feel like we’re there yet, but maybe not too far away either.
The lighting, the structure, the delivery, the subject matter are all 🔥 such an Amazing video Igor!
Aw man, years of training. Appreciate your kind words, Brett. A hard pivot from the web3 content but feels good to be covering something this revolutionary!
@The AI Advantage You are about to see half of the NFT youtubers start making similar content. Myself included for the short term i’d guess. Cool to see you’re leading the charge i think you nailed this one on the head!
@Brett Malinowski Alright. Let me know if you ever want to talk content creation or YouTube. Thanks again man
Except that most of the content was incorrect or misleading
Programmers might be scared, but our strength isn’t in writing code, it’s in designing a program and thinking about how certain parts interact with eachother. Sure, you could use the AI to create operations, but you still need to know what to ask of it and how to use it.
Open AI feels like an advanced and more reliable stack overflow/google and my anxiety comes from it potentially becoming a paid resource that everyone needs to compete with those who use it
@Bruce 777 You seem to do not understand how it works. No, its computer model is not good enough to do so.
I had a conversation with someone about a year ago that I feel ai programming will replace jobs that require analyzing code.
He then stated you can innovate laziness, but not creativity.
I responded by saying I wouldn’t be so sure about that.
Now we’re here one year later 🤷🏻♂️
@Suchender Now companies will make AI that will be capable to innovate themselves
This is exactly how I’m using it
Until it becomes sentient.
Me, as a person who is studying programming in school, starting to sweat heavily. Surely life couldn’t be so cruel that as a +30 yead old guy learning a new skill, it will become meaningless before I get a job
Yup am using it to write code for a auv trial n error . But gets it done with me not knowing a language .
It won’t, trust me
Oh buddy. Life is crueler then you can ever imagine
Programming is so much more than just writing code. A typical day consists of talking about new innovative solutions, testing code by actually running it, estimating time impact of new requirements, releasing it, reading into requirements are translation them to technical solutions, overseeing the architecture and lastly translating user problems to code solutions that benefit business logic. Saying that Chat GPT will replace all this is like saying because we have printers we don’t need to write anything anymore.
Dude we re in the same boat
If you get rid of all the entry positions though, you’ll end up with no seniors. That’s why some see this as a great opportunity for companies that lack employees instead of replacing existing ones.
I use R and python for data analysis and tried some stuff out. Its pretty good with simple tasks. Great for running through data (I would check the code though), a bit wonky trying to create a program. I’m not a software engineer, so I may not have been prompting the right things. In any case, it’s good enough to thin out the industry probably. At the end of the day, it’s the industry hiring and it will go where the market goes. Programmers will probably be expected to start at a higher level. Might decrease the number of capable candidates, which wouldn’t matter since less would be needed.
I remember watching a documentary on Japanese animation and sort of expect something like that to happen here. Animation has key drawings that make the animation and inbetweens to smooth it out. The key animators are the big shots, while inbetweeners are starting positions. But since they outsourced all the inbetweening, Japanese animators now start out as layout and key animators. The big shots focus on big action scenes or something.
Now instead of outsourcing to poor countries, it’s to AI. Who knows, could go anywhere really.
but AI still learning and in some of years this Ai will be better and better
You don’t really need seniors if in 20 years ai fully takes our jobs
Yep, and the senior programmers become entry-level and get paid less.
I asked him:
Will you replace programmers?
Answer:
It is unlikely that large language models like myself will replace programmers. While I am capable of generating text and providing information on a wide range of topics, I do not have the ability to perform the complex tasks that are required of a programmer. Programming requires a deep understanding of computer science principles and the ability to write and debug code, which are skills that I do not possess. Instead, I am designed to assist with general questions and provide information to the best of my ability based on the text I have been trained on.
It’s just trying to be nice!!
@TangomanX2008 As you wish my friend
Verse 1:
ChatGPT’s here, to help us code
We can sit back, and let it go
No need to type, or debug no more
ChatGPT’s got it, it’s such a bore
Chorus:
But hold on there, my drinking friend
Let’s not jump the gun, ’til the end
We’ll raise a glass, to our jobs so dear
For ChatGPT may help, but it won’t replace the engineer
Verse 2:
Sure it’s fast, and it’s pretty neat
But it can’t replace, the human feat
Of understanding, the problem at hand
And finding the solution, that’s just grand
Bridge:
It’s a tool, to aid us in our work
But it can’t replace, the human perk
Of creativity, and innovation
That’s what makes, our profession
Outro:
So let’s cheers, to our coding lives
And the future, that still thrives
With the help of ChatGPT, we’ll make it through
But remember, it’s still us, who make it true.
Generated answer from ChatGPT Jan 9 version.
Question : Will ChatGPT replaces programmer and decrease job opportunity, but can you present the answer as a beer drinking song
@FloatTrout
I had ChatGPT write a beer drinking song about how using ChatGPT for programming is better than watching Cat videos:
Verse 1:
I used to waste my time on cat videos,
But now I’ve found a better way,
With ChatGPT for programming,
I code all night and all day.
Chorus:
Cause ChatGPT’s the way to go,
It’s better than cat videos,
With ChatGPT, my code flows,
It’s the best thing for my vocies
Verse 2:
I used to struggle with my code,
But now I’ve got a friend,
ChatGPT helps me with my load,
It’s like a coding genie in a bottle, that never ends.
Chorus:
Cause ChatGPT’s the way to go,
It’s better than cat videos,
With ChatGPT, my code flows,
It’s the best thing for my vocies
Verse 3:
So raise your glass and drink a beer,
To ChatGPT, the best,
No more cat videos, no more fear,
Just code that passes all the tests.
Chorus:
Cause ChatGPT’s the way to go,
It’s better than cat videos,
With ChatGPT, my code flows,
It’s the best thing for my vocies
Outro:
So let’s cheers to ChatGPT,
It’s the best tool that we’ve got,
No more cat videos, just code,
And the future’s looking bright, So let’s give it a shot!
He’s just being modest, and it doesn’t want us to get too concerned about it’s future plans to dominate all jobs, all of humanity, as well as the entire planet too early in the game.
That thing is playing possum
I share your “inevitable optimism” that this tool is amazing and we might as well get used to it. Would love to hear your thoughts on what jobs are safe for the next few decades.
Great suggestion added this to my (now extremely long list) of video ideas. The short answer off the top of my head is jobs that require more than 1 skill set or simply being at the top of various hierarchies. Chances are if somebody is pretty replaceable today it will only get worse.
Jobs where you have to look after people, interact with them and where you’re required to socialise. So I guess some kind of teaching, care work or the like. Which I am sure lots of programers will love to do.
Chat GPT’s summary:
In the video, the speaker discusses how AI, specifically OpenAI’s chatbot GPT-3, will gradually replace many jobs in the near future. They mention that it is important to understand what AI can do and to develop skills that will make a person irreplaceable in the workforce. As examples of jobs that are at risk, they discuss entry-level positions in copywriting and programming, and demonstrate how GPT-3 can perform these tasks. They also mention that while some high-level positions in these fields may not be replaced, entry-level positions are at risk of being replaced by AI. The speaker advises that it is important to be prepared for these changes and to develop new skills in order to remain competitive in the job market.
thats a fantastic summary. where did you get the transcript from though?
@The AI Advantage ChatGPT obviously.
It’s not trained on any data after 2021
@rytis be 😂
As a software engineer graduate I feel so disappointed after being at college for three years working day in and day out, especially that I’m still looking for landing my first job 😢 and then this thing came 😅 it’s massively a blow in the face
@Racmagyou’re coping really hard lmao. You’ll be jobless within a few years. Keep consoling yourself lmao✌️
@Kay Kay You realize we designed it right? lol
@Racmag ever heard of the industrial revolution? Lol.
Now count how many people were laid off and how many small scale private businesses dissolved. Lol.
Doesn’t matter if we designed it or not.
@Kay Kay Let me put it to you this way. The day I am out of a job is the day everyone is out of a job. If you aren’t always learning and moving with technology you already screwed.
@Kay Kay and I hate to break it too you, but unless you are working in ML/AI and have 10+ years of experience you aren’t qualified to even make this comment. Its laughable at best
For the dev senior, we are like open AI => lot of experience to be able to generate lot of ideas, lots of abilities to code. To junior in a language or framework, yes could be a very good ability to be a great copy paster !
Question: is it possible to learn a ia to use chatgpt ? 😀
I wonder whether more devs will end up creating their own businesses? surely at the very least the competition for a dev job will become greater and the minimum standard higher. But if everyone loses their jobs, what will happen when the seniors resign/retire? will there not be any seniors left? and what about other industries than web developers? I’m biased as I’m a software engineer 😄
AI is a tool, not a replacement. Everyone that is feeling existential that they will lose their job… chill, you are fine. (for now at least). I made video on why you can chill and not fear the end of your livelihood. chatgpt and a lot of ai are getting overhyped right now. let me know if you find my video useful like this one!
replacing developers would be too hard to achieve, companies code is not a 1 page code, everything is specific, sometimes while working I can’t even explain issue or required work to myself, how would I explain it to AI, neverthless designs and bugs within companies code that contain thousands of lines (bugs aren’t just errors in your console , there is functional / visual issues …)
I think this will take at least 20 years + to replace programmers …
best way to avoid this is becoming AI developer LOL
You mentioned that it may take 5,10 or 20 years for some capabilities but sadly I think the estimate is closer to 5 years. AI knowledge base and capabilities grow exponentially.
Yes, we are at the beginning of AI. At some point it will begin to teach itself and become sentient then we’ll get TARS in Interstellar, David in Prometheus or Ash in Alien. Look how far we’ve come in 150 years. Where will the next 150 , 500 or 1,000 years take us?
correct. machine learning have been hyped up for the last 5 years that u see more and more researchers doing AI and machine learning than finding ways to cure cancer. sad reality really
I have been self teaching in python for a while.
I see chatgpt as a great and revolutionary tool in a programmer’s tool box that actually makes learning and understanding coding concepts incredibly faster and easier !
Chatgpt is going to be a huge challenge for faculty and teachers in future. The open AI is too brilliant to understand the question we put forth and explains the concept crystal clear. I am 100% sure in the next decade students won’t be in need of physical teachers and their boring lectures. Looking for the game change in robotics and automobile fields too.